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Economics Prediction Markets

China unemployment rate in July
Above 5.1%
Above 5.2%
Aug 17 @ 1:00 AM
Unemployment in July
Above 4.1%
Above 4.2%
Aug 7 @ 12:00 PM
Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 18, 2026
At least 210,000
At least 215,000
Jul 23 @ 11:30 AM
TSA avg check-ins from Jul 13 to 19, 2026?
Above 2.7 million
Above 2.75 million
$16,334 vol
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Soft landing
Overheating
Jan 13 @ 11:00 AM
US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/24
Above 4500
Above 4000
Jul 24 @ 8:00 PM
US Challenger job cuts in July
Above 40,000
Above 60,000
Aug 6 @ 9:00 AM
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
Exactly 4.3%
Exactly 4.2%
Aug 7 @ 12:00 PM
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
Above 70,000
Above 80,000
Aug 7 @ 12:00 PM
Unemployment in September
Above 4.1%
Above 4.2%
Oct 2 @ 12:00 PM
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
Above 4.8%
Jan 8 @ 1:30 PM
UK retail sales in June
Above 0.0%
Above 0.5%
Jul 24 @ 5:00 AM
ADP employment change in Aug 2026?
Above 25000
Above 50000
Sep 2 @ 12:00 PM
ADP employment change in Jul 2026?
Above 75000
Above 100000
Aug 5 @ 12:00 PM
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?
Above 25000
Above 50000
Dec 2 @ 1:00 PM
ADP employment change in Oct 2026?
Above 0
Above 50000
Nov 4 @ 1:00 PM
ADP employment change in Sep 2026?
Above 25000
Above 50000
Sep 30 @ 12:00 PM
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
Above 5.8%
Above 6.0%
Aug 4 @ 12:00 PM
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
Mar 31 @ 2:30 PM
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
Feb 23 @ 1:00 PM
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in July?
Aug 6 @ 9:00 AM
Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
Exactly 4.4%
Exactly 4.5%
Sep 4 @ 12:00 PM
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
Exactly 4.5%
Exactly 4.4%
Dec 4 @ 1:00 PM
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
Exactly 4.5%
Exactly 4.4%
Nov 6 @ 1:00 PM
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
Exactly 4.4%
Exactly 4.5%
Oct 2 @ 12:00 PM
July 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k
Aug 7 @ 11:30 AM
How many government employees will Trump cut?
More than 100,000
More than 150,000
Mar 4 @ 3:00 PM
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
Oct 22 @ 12:00 PM
Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
Above $145 billion
Above $150 billion
Nov 1 @ 1:00 PM
Will at least 50% of flights to JFK be canceled on October 21, 2026?
Oct 22 @ 2:00 AM
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
61.0% to 61.4%
61.5% to 61.9%
Jan 8 @ 1:00 PM